Arsenal's chances

What are Arsenal’s chances of qualifying for the Champions League?

Last night, Arsenal again failed to win an away game in the Premier League. The Gunners were soundly pummeled by lowly Crystal Palace in a humiliating 3-0 defeat. That defeat spelt doom for Arsene Wenger’s men in many ways. For one, and most importantly, their hopes of finishing in the top four and qualifying for the Champions League was put in doubt. After four consecutive away defeats, would it be fair to say that Arsenal’s chances of qualifying for the Champions League are non-existent?

Arsene Wenger has suffered a lot this season; partly for his own doing. The Frenchman is enduring his worst spell as Arsenal manager yet. Having been at the helm of the North London club for twenty years, Arsene Wenger is at crossroads in his Arsenal career for the first time. The former Monaco boss has come under heavy criticism from the Arsenal faithful for their team’s poor performance. His team has lost eight times this season. They have suffered consecutive away losses to Chelsea, Liverpool, West Brom and much recently Crystal Palace. Those losses have left Arsenal rooted in sixth position, equal on points with Everton (54) with two games in hand.

The contenders for a Champions League spot

This season, the race for who qualifies the Champions League from the Premier League is pretty heated up. Mathematically, only the league leaders, Chelsea are assured of a Champions League spot after amassing an insurmountable number of points for at least a fourth-place finish – although they just need four more wins to finish 1st. Spurs are in second, and with their terrifying attacking force, it’ll be difficult to usurp them in at least second. This leaves two positions open for contest – third and fourth.

Currently occupying the third and fourth position is Liverpool with 63 points and Manchester City with 61 points respectively. Both Liverpool and Manchester City can be usurped on those positions by Manchester United and Arsenal if they show superb form in the running to the league finale. Hence, it’s a fight to the finish for the last two Champions League spots between the quartet of Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Arsenal.

Everton is seven points behind Manchester City in fourth place. The Toffees are too far behind to grab a ticket to Europe’s elite club competition. I’m ruling them out of the running.

Arsenal’s chances, slimmed down by their opponents

The Gunners must be looking for that top four position and wondering what they can do to get there. The problem for Arsenal is that they can’t seem to win away games. Their woes away from home is one reason for their slip to sixth on the Premier League table.

Arsenal has eight games left to play in the Premier League, half of those games are away from home. The toughest of those away games is a difficult trip to Spurs on the last day of the month. If Arsene Wenger’s group cannot change their away fortunes, then there’s no way they can secure a Champions League spot.

Manchester United are also fighting hard for a top four finish. The Red Devils are battling on two fronts. For one, they could qualify automatically if they win the Europa League. They could also grab a ticket to Europe if they finish in the top four. Manchester United’s fight for a Champions League place further slims down Arsenal’s chances of finishing among the top four. Based on current form, Arsenal does not look like a team worthy of toppling Manchester United.

Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City will not just lie down and let Arsenal walk over them. The Citizens are poised for a Champions League berth after conceding the Champions League to Chelsea or Tottenham. With the vast array of talent and a manager as good as Pep Guardiola; a Champions League berth will be the least Manchester City should expect. That slims down Arsenal’s chances of qualifying for the Champions League even further.

Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool is also in contention for a Champions League place. The Reds are third and are not doing badly either – they are the league’s top scorers with 68 goals. Their form further slims down Arsenal’s chances of making the top four.

At this point, you get the picture that it’ll only take a miracle for Arsenal to finish among the top four teams in the Premier League this season. Arsenal chances of qualifying for the top four is closer to zero percent.

About the Author Kingsley

I am a football/soccer connoisseur who enjoys crafting interesting articles like the one you just read.

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